Tractatus Logico-Philosophicus · Chapter
5.155 explained
Wittgenstein defines the unit of the probability proposition as the assignment of a degree of probability to a definite event based on circumstances that are not further known.
What happens
Wittgenstein defines the unit of the probability proposition as the assignment of a degree of probability to a definite event based on circumstances that are not further known.
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Narrative arc
Story tension across the book.
- Setup
- Escalation
- Breaking point
- Aftermath
- Closing
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- Mr. Wittgenstein
Author of the proposition
Key passages
“The unit of the probability proposition is: The circumstances—with which I am not further acquainted—give to the occurrence of a definite event such and such a degree of probability.”
The basic form of a probability statement is that unknown circumstances assign a specific likelihood to a particular event.
Clarifies the minimal structure of probability claims
