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Discourses on Livy · Chapter

LVI explained

Machiavelli discusses how great calamities are often preceded by signs, prophecies, or portents, citing examples from ancient Rome and recent Italian history, including Savonarola's prediction of Charles VIII's invasion, lightning strikes b

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Machiavelli discusses how great calamities are often preceded by signs, prophecies, or portents, citing examples from ancient Rome and recent Italian history, including Savonarola's prediction of Charles VIII's invasion, lightning strikes before Lorenzo de' Medici's death and Piero Soderini's fall, and Livy's account of Marcus Ceditius hearing a voice warning of the Gauls.

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SetupEscalationClimax
  • Setup
  • Escalation
  • Breaking point
  • Aftermath
  • Closing

The emotional and psychological peak occurs when the Claudian censor, driven by the family’s ingrained haughti…

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Themes in this chapter

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Key passages

  • “no grave calamity has ever befallen any city or country which has not been foretold by vision, by augury, by portent, or by some other heaven-sent sign”

    Every major disaster is preceded by some kind of divine or supernatural warning.

    Machiavelli asserts a universal pattern of portents before calamities.

  • “the air is filled with intelligent beings, to whom it is given to forecast future events; who, taking pity upon men, warn them beforehand by these signs”

    Some wise men believe that benevolent spirits in the air predict the future and send signs to warn people.

    Machiavelli offers a possible explanation for the phenomenon of portents.

Discourses on Livy — LVI Explained